THE authoritative Jane's Intelligence Review has been quick to respond to Papua New Guinea treasurer Patrick Pruaitch’s criticism of prime minister Peter O’Neill, stating he was responsible for government overspending, by issuing a sombre warning note to its subscribers.
Jane’s said that Pruaitch’s trenchant attack on O’Neill and the treasurer’s revelations on the degraded state of the economy “indicate protracted, electorally driven political conflict and reduced government stability.”
“Localised outbreaks of sporadic violence are likely during the upcoming Papua New Guinea elections,” it forecast, “but the participation of the military will reduce the risk of widespread unrest.
“The elections will be followed by a period of protracted negotiation among parliamentarians.
“However, incumbent prime minister Peter O'Neill is relatively well positioned to retain power given his ability to form viable political coalitions.”
But the newsletter said that “whoever forms the next government, corruption is likely to weigh on the prospects for political reform and economic recovery.”